Business Inspiration: The Business Probability Theory

Although both of the opportunity, but different attitude. In the science of statistics, the odds of an event forced quantized. Expressed within the confines of percentage. The higher the percentage, the greater the chance it happened, and vice versa. It is said that statistics was born from the womb of the gambling places. A form of business from gamblers eminent formulate his luck.

In the study of statistics or gambling, or the attributes option is always available [eg red marbles in a bag blue danb the amount of each is different], then the percentage chance is attached to him. And when finally the betting should be done [a procession of making a marble from the bag], then surely that is suggested for the number of marbles bet more because it attached a greater percentage of opportunities.
In business, often no such condition was. To reach the profit / fortunately, there is almost infinite options / attributes in the market. We're the one who then had to choose some of them just to ease the localization of action. After several options available, it is not easy to attach the percentage scale on each. Karena indeed, the success was indeed located in one of the choices we have this grimy, can also be combined in some of them, or in all but the percentages vary, and may also not at all. Which are beyond the choices we make. Tercomot not escape. There are times when only one option available, and the 'psychological' we judge it is also very little possibility of success. If it's only one option available is only for the possibility of success, albeit very small, actually consider it an opportunity for us to be 100% successful. There's no other way. The whole effort / efforts should be 100% devoted to him. Not only because there was no other choice, but in the business: failure is not eternal. Origin of our tough and relentless, often the failure of success is just waiting for the bridge.

In addition, business opportunities in an action are mutually dependent events to pegambilan decisions and subsequent actions. Whenever there are five pieces in a bag of red marbles and four blue marbles and fruit on successful betting is drawing red marbles, then on the first opportunity we are 5 / 9. When it is drawn is blue marbles [fails], then when the marbles have been drawn not reinstated into the bag [not repeat the same failure like a donkey that fell the same hole a second time], then the next decision on processions, the odds of success we [drawing a red marble] increased to 5 / 8. Failure could be viewed as an attempt at closer we are trying to achieve success.

Then if we successfully took the red marbles, then did then actually reduce our chances for success next? Yes if the above statistical terminology. Or at least not going to change the opportunities when then red marbles to be returned back into the bag. But in business, often a success will open the way to the door of the next success. Successful attributes that were previously hidden [a collection of pink marbles into categories of success and no previous terkategorikan]. But if we can not add new categories of success, sometimes success is indeed lower the chance of subsequent successful [in business we recognize it as a condition of stagnant or zero-growth]. Or if we're really lucky, sometimes success can be repeated with almost unlimited, as in the business of its stable level of demand from time-to-time. Some restaurants with various cuisine menu is a classic example.

Hopefully enlightening.

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